The 7 predictors of happiness & health in old age
- David Oaks
- Apr 20
- 3 min read
For 85 years, Harvard researchers have been tracking the same group of people—from their twenties all the way into their nineties.
They wanted to answer one question:

What makes people happy and healthy as they age?
The result is like a crystal ball that looks into happiness and health.
The longtime study director, Harvard psychiatry professor George Vaillant, wrote three bestselling books on the results. His successor, Robert Waldinger, popularized the study even more with a viral TED Talk that’s been viewed nearly 40 million times.
The result is seven predictors of happiness and health in old age.
But one matters more than all the others… Can you guess it?
The Seven Predictors of Being Happy-Well
1. Don’t Smoke
Simple: don’t smoke—or at least, quit early.
2. Avoid Alcohol Abuse
Alcohol abuse is one of the most obvious factors leading to sad-sick outcomes in old age. If there’s any indication of problem drinking in your life or family, quit now.
3. Maintain Healthy Body Weight
Avoid obesity. Without being fanatical, maintain a body weight in the normal range through moderate, sustainable eating habits.
4. Exercise Regularly
Stay physically active, even with a sedentary job. The single best, time-tested way? Walking every day.
5. Adaptive Coping Style
Confront problems directly. Appraise them honestly. Deal with them without excessive rumination, unhealthy emotional reactions, or avoidance behavior.
6. Lifelong Learning
More education leads to a more active mind later on, and that means a longer, happier life. This doesn’t mean going to Harvard—it means purposely learning and lots of reading throughout your life.
7. Stable, Long-Term Relationships
For most, this is a steady marriage, but there are other relationships that fit here. The point is having people with whom you grow together, whom you can count on, no matter what comes your way.
One of these matters more than the other six…
According to George Vaillant, the single most important trait of happy-well elders is #7, healthy relationships.
Not the people with the best cholesterol levels.Not the people with the most money.Not the people with the most impressive careers.
The people with the best relationships.
He elaborates: “There are two pillars of happiness. One is love. The other is finding a way of coping with life that does not push love away.”
Robert Waldinger puts it this way:
“The clearest message that we get from this study is this: Good relationships keep us happier and healthier. Period."
The Loneliness Epidemic
Here’s the sobering reality:
Loneliness is comparable to smoking 15 cigarettes per day and is worse than obesity in terms of health outcomes.
U.S. Surgeon General Vivek Murthy wrote: “During my years caring for patients, the most common condition I saw was not heart disease or diabetes; it was loneliness.”
And who’s most at risk?
Leaders and high achievers.
Why? Because success often comes at the cost of deep relationships.
Subordinates objectify leaders as “dispensers of power, information, and money”—not as friends.
Leaders often distance themselves from employees to maintain objectivity.
The result?
Lonely at the top.
Lonely in a crowd.
The Finishing Well Solution
This is why the Finishing Well mindset isn’t just about career success or financial planning.
It’s about building the relational infrastructure that will sustain you in your Power Quarter.
Here’s what the Harvard Study teaches us:
1. Friendship Love Matters More Than Passionate Love
The secret to happiness isn’t falling in love—it’s staying in love through what psychologists call “companionate love”: stable affection, mutual understanding, and commitment.
Research proves that the “benefits of marriage are much greater for those who also regard their spouse as their best friend.”
2. Workplace Friendships Are Critical
70% of people say friendship at work is the most important element to a happy work life.
Employees who have a best friend at work are:
Almost twice as likely to enjoy their workday
Almost 50% more likely to report high social well-being
But here’s the problem: When you retire, those friendships often disappear.
The happiest retirees? Those who actively worked to replace workmates with new playmates.
They didn’t wait until retirement.
They started preparing in their 40s and 50s.
3. Quality Over Quantity
It’s not about having hundreds of friends.
It’s about having people you can count on when things get tough.
People who feel they can rely on someone in times of need:
Have sharper memories longer
Experience less physical pain
Live longer, happier lives
What the Harvard study teaches us about finishing well:
Remember this:
“The unhappiest retirees had not gone on to do anything productive beyond pleasing themselves.”
Purpose + Relationships = Happy-Well
This is why I teach that your Power Quarter isn’t about:
Traveling the world
Finally relaxing
It’s about contribution through relationships.
It’s about using your accumulated wisdom to serve others.
It’s about being rooted in love while bearing fruit for the next generation.




Comments